• 'Trinamool siege has no major impact on commodity prices' Aug 27th, 2008, 20:23 - APD (Length: 1445)
• Sugar remains flat, millgate price slips Aug 27th, 2008, 20:20 - APD (Length: 996)
• Sugar continues to decline on good supply Aug 27th, 2008, 20:16 - APD (Length: 568)
• Guyana Labour Minister to refer sugar workers' dispute to arbitration Aug 27th, 2008, 12:33 - BBC (Length: 1876)
• Online extra: Cabbage roll recipes Aug 27th, 2008, 11:58 - KRT (Length: 15052)
• EU threatens Fiji's sugar subsidies if elections are not called Aug 27th, 2008, 04:37 - AIF (Length: 1117)
• FIJI'S SUGAR SUBSIDIES AT RISK, SAYS EU Aug 27th, 2008, 02:46 - APU (Length: 2674)
• ACC without secretary for over 4 months Aug 26th, 2008, 21:37 - APD (Length: 1093)
• Oudh Sugar FY'08 net loss at Rs 4.5 cr Aug 26th, 2008, 21:29 - APD (Length: 763)
• Sugar prices decline on likely govt intervention Aug 26th, 2008, 21:06 - APD (Length: 1402)

[ More Sugar News ]

Analysis

Wed 8/27/08

Bollinger Bands Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: The Bollinger Bands are indicating an oversold condition. An oversold reading occurs when the close is nearer to the bottom band than the top band.

Additional Analysis: The market is in oversold territory. And, the market just signaled a 9 bar bearish key reversal adding to the chance for a decline here.

Mov Avg 3 lines Indicator:

Note: In evaluating the short term, plot1 represents the fast moving average, and plot2 is the slow moving average. For the longer term analysis, plot2 is the fast moving average and plot3 is the slow moving average

Conventional Interpretation - Short Term: The market is bullish because the fast moving average is above the slow moving average.

Additional Analysis - Short Term: Recently the market has been extremely bullish, however currently the market has lost a some of its bullishness due to the following: the fast moving average slope is down from the previous bar, price is below the fast moving average, price is below the slow moving average. Its possible that we may see a market pullback here. if so, the pullback might turn out to be a good buying opportunity.

Conventional Interpretation - Long Term: The market is bullish because the fast moving average is above the slow moving average.

Additional Analysis - Long Term: Recently the market has been extremely bullish, however currently the market has lost a some of its bullishness due to the following: the slow moving average slope is down from the previous bar, price is below the fast moving average. Its possible that we may see a market pullback here. if so, the pullback might turn out to be a good buying opportunity.

Mov Avg-Exponential Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: Price is above the moving average so the trend is up.

Additional Analysis: Market trend is UP.

RSI Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: RSI is in neutral territory. (RSI is at 53.07). This indicator issues buy signals when the RSI line dips below the bottom line into the oversold zone; a sell signal is generated when the RSI rises above the top line into the overbought zone.

Additional Analysis: RSI is somewhat overbought (RSI is at 53.07) suggesting a possible market decline. Further, a bearish key reversal off a 9 bar new high here makes a downturn in the market even more likely

Stochastic - Fast Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: The SlowK line crossed below the SlowD line; this indicates a sell signal.

Additional Analysis: The long term trend is UP. The short term trend looks a little toppy. A possible short term down move may occur. A good upward move is possible without SlowK being overbought. However, a down move in SlowK for this bar is a little concerning short term.

Stochastic - Slow Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: The SlowK line crossed below the SlowD line; this indicates a sell signal.

Additional Analysis: The long term trend is UP. The short term trend is UP. Even though the stochastic is signaling that the market is overbought, don't be fooled looking for a top here because of this indicator. The stochastic indicator is only good at picking tops in a Bear Market (in which we are not). Exit long position only if some other indicator tells you to.

Swing Index Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: The swing index has crossed zero, identifying this bar as a short term pivot point.

Additional Analysis: No additional interpretation.

Volatility Indicator: Volatility is in a downtrend based on a 9 bar moving average.

Volume Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: No indications for volume.

Additional Analysis: The long term market trend, based on a 45 bar moving average, is UP. The short term market trend, based on a 5 bar moving average, is UP. A bearish key reversal off a 5 bar new high here here suggests a decline.

ADX Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: ADX measures the strength of the prevailing trend. A rising ADX indicates a strong underlying trend while a falling ADX suggests a weakening trend which is subject to reversal. Currently the ADX is falling.

Additional Analysis: The long term trend, based on a 45 bar moving average, is up. However, ADX has turned down, indicating a deterioration in the current trend. Look for the market to get a bit choppy here. A decline from current levels is possible here.

Comm Channel Index Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: CCI (79.55) has crossed back into the neutral region, issuing a signal to liquidate long positions and return to the sidelines.

Additional Analysis: CCI often misses the early part of a new move because of the large amount of time spent out of the market in the neutral region. Initiating signals when CCI crosses zero, rather than waiting for CCI to cross out of the neutral region can often help overcome this. Given this interpretation,CCI (79.55) is bullish, but has begun showing some weakness. Begin looking for an attractive point to liquidate long positions and return to the sidelines.

DMI Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: DMI+ is greater than DMI-, indicating an upward trending market. A signal is generated when DMI+ crosses DMI-.

Additional Analysis: DMI is in bullish territory. However, a bearish key reversal off a 9 bar new high here suggests a downside move is possible. The ADX has turned downward indicating diminishing confidence in the current trend. Consider liquidating any bullish positions here.

MACD Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: MACD is in bullish territory, but has not issued a signal here. MACD generates a signal when the FastMA crosses above or below the SlowMA.

Additional Analysis: The long term trend, based on a 45 bar moving average, is UP. The short term trend, based on a 9 bar moving average, is UP. MACD is in bullish territory. However, the recent downturn in the MacdMA may indicate a short term decline within the next few bars. A bearish key reversal off a 9 bar new high here confirms this bearish outlook.

Momentum Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: Momentum (0.00) is above zero, indicating an overbought market.

Additional Analysis: The long term trend, based on a 45 bar moving average, is UP. The short term trend, based on a 9 bar moving average, is UP. Momentum is in bullish territory.upside move is likely. However, a bearish key reversal off a 9 bar new high here suggests a downside move is possible.

Open Interest Indicator: Open Interest is trending up based on a 9 bar moving average. This is normal as delivery approaches and indicates increased liquidity.

Rate of change Indicator:

Conventional Interpretation: Rate of Change (0.00) is above zero, indicating an overbought market.

Additional Analysis: The long term trend, based on a 45 bar moving average, is UP. The short term trend, based on a 9 bar moving average, is UP. Rate of Change is in bullish territory. However, a bearish key reversal off a 9 bar new high here suggests a downside move is possible.

Important: This commentary is designed solely as a training tool for the understanding of technical analysis of the financial markets. It is not designed to provide any investment or other professional advice.

Note: The above analysis is computer generated from mathematical formulae, and is provided for educational purposes only. Neither the above, nor any information on this site is intended as a trade recommendation.